The
Russian ruble collapsed in 1998 during the Russian Financial crisis, shortly
after Asian Financial crises. It started with reduction of global prices of commodities such as
petroleum that affected Russia because its economy was dependent on oil export.
This turn of events affected foreign exchange rates in that the Ruble weakened
against foreign currencies. The government supported the ruble by dictating a
fixed rate of exchange between the ruble and other foreign currencies.
Internal
loans failed to grow due to lack of inflow of external capital, so the
government raised the interest rate to 150% to attract it. This only worsened
the debt situation that already existed due to internal debts on wages. The
World Bank and International Monetary Fund gave funding of $ 22.6 billion that aided
conversion of the short-term bills of GKO into long-term Eurobonds. The process
was successful, but it did not strengthen the ruble because the government continued
to support it. The government decided to float the ruble; hence, it was subject
to control y the Central Bank, it would spend foreign reserves it failed to
stabilize.
The
collapse of the ruble had various effects on various sectors of the economy, at
the domestic level workers declined to work due to the large wages that the
government owed them. The deteriorating economy scared away investors who sold
their Russian assets and Rubles for fear of further reduction of their value.
This further devalued the ruble, so the Central Bank had to defend it using its
foreign reserves; hence, weakening it more and losing more investors.
Russian
ruble recovered from its collapse in August 1998 mainly because the world’s oil
price rose rapidly; hence, Russia made surplus sales. Development of local industries
also contributed, they grew due to increase in prices of exported goods; hence,
consumers preferred local products. The fact that the economy was operating on
non-monetary instruments and not dependent on the banking system was
beneficial. This is mainly because the hike of prices did not affect the
producers.
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